As of our last simulation update, the Atlanta Falcons are -5.5 favorites with an over/under of 52.5. The lines project to a score of ATL 29, NO 23.5. BSNblog has simulated this game thousands of times and the average score for both teams in simulations is quite different than what Vegas Lines project. The Saints are averaging 25.9 over 15 games. The Atlanta Falcons are averaging 21.5 in that same time period. It is not a surprise that the Falcons are solid favorites. In simulations they are averaging 506 offensive yards vs 456 for the Saints. We update our simulations and projections throughout the day in response to the latest depth charts and injury updates. Currently, these are each team's projected leaders in passing, rushing and receiving:
NEW ORLEANS SAINTS
PASSING: Drew Brees 26/36 CP-ATT, 279 YD, 1.3 TD, 0.9 INT
RUSHING: Tim Hightower 14 RUSH, 66 YD, 0.5 TD
RECEIVING: Brandin Cooks 6 REC, 79 YD, 0.5 TD
ATLANTA FALCONS
PASSING: Matt Ryan 27/39 CP-ATT, 324 YD, 1.9 TD, 1.1 INT
RUSHING: Devonta Freeman 16 RUSH, 87 YD, 0.8 TD
RECEIVING: Julio Jones 8 REC, 123 YD, 0.7 TD
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Last time out for Atlanta, they were a 20-13 winner as they battled the Panthers at home. The Falcons covered in the match as a +7-point underdog, while 33 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors.
New Orleans won its last outing, a 38-27 result against the Jaguars on December 27. The Saints covered in that game as a -2-point favorite, while the 65 combined points took the game OVER the total.
New Orleans:
Team record: 6-9 SU,7-7-1 ATS
New Orleans is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Orleans's last 8 games
New Orleans is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Atlanta:
Team record: 8-7 SU,6-9 ATS
Atlanta is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games
Atlanta is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games
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