NFL Week 5 matchups may go down as “blowout week” when all is said and done, as several horrible teams face several great teams. While that makes it seem like we have lots of safe NFL picks, we still have to tread carefully with those big spreads. Here are a few games to consider. Minnesota Vikings (-9.5) @ St. Louis Rams
Sunday, October 11, 1:00 p.m. ET
Don’t mistake the Vikings for the Redskins and Bengals, who didn’t cover the spread against the Lions and Browns in consecutive weeks. The Vikings are a 4-0 powerhouse fresh off an impressive win against a solid Green Bay team. The Rams can’t pass, so the Vikings’ stellar run defense can stack the box against Steven Jackson. St. Louis won’t score and Minnesota will, thanks to Adrian Peterson and the resurgent Brett Favre. Pick Minnesota.
Betting services recommend: Vikings -9.5
Dallas Cowboys (-8) @ Kansas City Chiefs
Sunday, October 11, 1:00 p.m. ET
The Cowboys are angry after losing to Denver and the Chiefs may be just the remedy for their struggles. Tony Romo and the passing game couldn’t do much at all against the stingy Broncos but they’ll have no trouble against the porous Chiefs. The last time Dallas faced a weak “D” was Week 1 against Tampa, and Tony Romo threw for a career-high 353 yards in that contest. Even if he doesn’t have Roy Williams this week, he’ll get back on track as America’s Team posts a big number on the scoreboard.
Betting services recommend: Cowboys -8
Atlanta Falcons @ San Francisco 49ers (-2.5)
Sunday, October 11, 4:05 p.m. ET
While Week 5 doesn’t offer too much sportsbook upset potential, the Falcons could pull a minor one against San Francisco. The 49er defense has been dominant under Mike Singletary’s tutelage but wasn’t actually that great against the pass versus teams like Arizona and Minnesota who have good quarterbacks. Matt Ryan could move the ball on the 49ers and I’m not so sure San Francisco will answer with points of their own. Glen Coffee was just ordinary filling in for Frank Gore last week and Shaun Hill still hasn’t shown he’s more than a caretaker. Bet on the Falcons.
Betting services recommend: Falcons +2.5
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