Now that the UFC 100 odds are up, the main A lot people think that this UFC fight card might be the best of all time, which is definitely up for debate. Aside from seeing Brock Lesnar fight Frank Mir, and George St. Pierre versus Thiago Alves (no relation to the tennis player), and Dan Henderson squaring off with Michael Bisping, there’s actually still more attractions on the card.
A lot of people want to see how Jon Jones – one of the sport’s up-and-coming stars – fares in his first fight since crushing Stephan Bonner.
This could be the most star-studded event since we examined the Super Bowl odds back in February, so let’s examine the main fight and make a pick:
Frank Mir vs Brock Lesnar
Odds: Lesnar -250
The sportsbooks are sending a pretty clear message by making Lesnar such a clear favorite: they don’t think Frank Mir can win.
It might be hard to argue with them because they usually know what they are doing and secondly, there is a good pedigree for picking Lesnar to win.
For starters, Lesnar dominated the first fight and only lost because he made a rookie mistake. As he was on top of Mir while the two were fight on the ground, Mir , the submission expert, caught a hold of Lesnar’s foot and submitted him.
The important note here is that it was Lesnar’s second-ever MMA fight at that time and he was fairly raw at that point.
He’s grown quite a bit since that time and has worked on his ground defense significantly.
When you look at how this fight will shape up, Mir’s main edge is trying to submit Lesnar, but you have to figure that Lesnar’s radar will be up after last time.
Secondly, you have to factor that Lesnar has improved as an MMA fighter overall. He has been training with fighters, has gained fight experience and has more knowledge than he did the first time around.
Standing, it would be pretty hard not to give Lesnar the edge because of the power his punches pack. And on the mat, Lesnar is a wrestling expert, so he has an edge there too.
As long as he doesn’t get caught in another submission, this fight is his to lose.
Sports Pick: Lesnar -250
